MarketMates experiments

Marble Lab

Small, practical tools for thinking clearly about trading risk, behaviour, and decision quality. No fluff. Minimal goblins.

Why Marble Lab?

We learned a lot about trading by playing the marble game.

The idea was simple: put a bunch of marbles in a hat, each one marked with an R-multiple — -1R, +0.5R, +2R, and the odd unpleasant one you’d rather not pull twice before lunch.

Then you draw them one at a time.

You can’t control the next marble. That’s the point. But you can control how much you risk, how you size your trades, and whether your system can survive a rough sequence of pulls.

That little exercise teaches a lesson most traders need to feel, not just read: trading is not about predicting every single outcome. It’s about understanding the mix in the hat, managing risk, and staying in the game long enough for your edge to show up.

Marble Lab is built in that spirit — simple tools to help you see risk, reward, drawdown, and decision quality more clearly before the market starts throwing marbles at your head.

Risk simulator

Position Sizing Game

Test how win rate, payoff ratio, drawdown, and risk per trade interact over a run of trades.

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Objective calculator

Position Sizing Calculator

Estimate 1R, expected return, expectancy, and Monte Carlo drawdown from your trading objectives.

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Growth modeller

Compounding Returns Calculator

Model smooth growth, variable monthly returns, percentile outcomes, and drawdown estimates over time.

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Drawdown lesson

Drawdown Recovery Calculator

See the return required to recover from a drawdown, with simple bars, a curve, and a quick reference graphic.

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Expectancy tool

Edge Simulator

Explore win rate, payoff, R-multiples, expectancy, and simulated equity paths.

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Scale-in maths

ATR Scale-In R Multiple Calculator

Compare stop distance, scale-in spacing, and ATR move size to see gross scaling impact in R multiples.

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Statement analyst

R-Multiple Analyst

Upload an MT5 XLSX statement and review closed trades using a fixed dollar value for 1R.

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